How New Yorkers Navigated the City with Citi Bikes during Hurricane Ida
Using Citi Bike System Data to Analyze How Cyclist Behaviors and Micro-Mobility Patterns are Shaped by Extreme Weather Events in New York City
Fall 2023
Course: Introduction to Urban Data + Informatics, Columbia University
Instructors: Professor Gayatri Kawlra and TA Lance Punay
Applications
Python, NYC Open Data
Methods
Data Cleaning, Data Visualization, Geographic Data Processing, Regression Analysis, Time Series Analysis, Literature Review
On the evening of September 1, 2021, the remnants of Hurricane Ida struck New York City, bringing widespread flooding that produced hundreds of millions of dollars of damage and claimed the lives of 13 people within the City. The storm had already been reclassified as a post-tropical cyclone after having affected much of the Northeastern United States, but it still shattered the City’s record for the most single-hour rainfall at 3.15 inches. Inclement weather conditions continued until September 3, with an estimated total downfall of over 7 inches of water.
For context, the City’s sewer system, which handles both waste and rain runoff in a single pipe, only has the capacity to handle 1.75 inches of rain per hour. Water exceeding that capacity accumulated in streets and spilled over into the subway system, cellars, and basements — disproportionately impacting the 100-year floodplain in which 93.1% of Ida-impacted buildings are situated. The unprecedented downpour violently exposed the stark climate vulnerabilities that pervade New York City, with the extreme degree of calamity attributed to the overloaded, century-old drainage system that was ill-equipped to accommodate the exceptional rainfall rates brought forth by Ida.
Needless to say, much of the City’s transportation was brought to a standstill. Torrents filled the BQE, FDR, and even a ramp to the Brooklyn Bridge. 80 tractor-trailers, trucks, and cars were also abandoned on the Bronx’s Major Deegan Expressway, as motorists were stranded by leaking retaining walls along the 8.5-mile highway. Passengers on 15 to 20 subway cars had to be rescued in the storm as waterfalls emerged within subway stations across all five boroughs — ranging from Harlem’s 116th Street station to Jefferson Street’s L train.
Transportation workers at the Metropolitan Transportation Authority tirelessly conducted round-the-clock repairs to restore operations to the nation’s largest subway system. Yet on September 3, two days after the wake of Ida, most of the city’s subway lines remained disrupted by delays and partial suspensions. At the same time, bicycles prevailed as a resilient form of transportation in the midst of extreme weather recovery. On September 2, Citi Bike witnessed 126,360 rides — breaking its single-day ridership record at the time.
Analyzing Citi Bike System Data over the duration of August 29 to September 4 (the full week during which Ida took place), 2021, may allow us to better understand how Hurricane Ida had impacted cyclist behaviors and ridership patterns — and how disrupted mobility networks may have been mediated by the availability of Citi Bike service. Given the inequitable coverage of the bike-sharing system throughout the five boroughs, it is hypothesized that ridership may be concentrated in Manhattan. Moreover, the extreme and anomalous nature of Hurricane Ida may instigate higher usage of Citi Bikes by non-Citi Bike members. Finally, while Citi Bike infrastructure is built to be protected from blackouts or storm-related electrical shortages, it is hypothesized that Ida may have been met with diminished electric bike compared to classic bike usage.
A plummet in Citi Bike usage is, predictably, observed on September 1, at 50,554 total rides. The day afterward, the number of rides surged to 125,810 — the deviation from Citi Bike’s reported figure of 126,360 is attributed to the removal of rides that omit longitude or latitude information in this analysis. After stratifying the figures by membership status, it reveals that the surge may be specifically attributed to an increased number of casual riders, as the number of riders with memberships had remained relatively comparable between August 31 versus September 2.
Number of Citi Bike Rides Per Day from August 29 to September 4, 2021. Total (Left) versus Stratified by Member Type (Right)
When analyzing the average duration of Citi Bike rides, September 1 also experienced shorter durations compared to the preceding and proceeding dates. This may potentially be due to the evasion of longer distance rides compared to shorter distances by users, given the anticipation of inclement weather approaching that evening.
Average Duration of Citi Bike Rides Per Day from August 29 to September 4, 2021
Electric bike usage remained relatively consistent throughout the week, compared to classic bikes which fluctuated more drastically between September 1 and 2. Features like a 500-watt motor, hydraulic brakes, and higher nighttime visibility may incline users toward e-bikes, even or especially in the face of averse environmental conditions.
Grouped Bar Graph of Citi Bike Type Per Day from August 29 to September 4, 2021
When dissecting the data to produce counts per hour over the full week, and then zooming into the duration of Ida, an abnormal spike was seen in the midnight of September 2 – during which casual users had, for the first and only time, superseded the number of member users. The record-breaking 3.15 inches of rain had fallen on the city between 8:51 and 9:51 pm. on September 1, which may have resulted in the onset of transit disruptions that made Citi Bikes the most favorable mobility option for pedestrians who were stranded by a lack of viable public transportation.
Number of Citibike Rides Per Hour by Member Type. The full week of August 29 to September 4, 2021 (Left) versus the specific duration of Hurricane Ida (Right)
Chloropleths generated from the counts of Citi Bike Ride Origins and Destinations by Neighborhood Tabulation Area emphasize the dominance of Citi Bike use concentrated in Manhattan relative to the other boroughs. The fallen Citi Bike usage throughout all boroughs of the city on September 1 is made apparent when juxtaposed with September 2 and 3.
Chloropleths of Citi Bike Ride Origins Every 6 Hours of Hurricane Ida (September 1 to 3, 2021) by Neighborhood Tabulation Area
Chloropleths of Citi Bike Ride Destinations Every 6 Hours of Hurricane Ida (September 1 to 3, 2021) by Neighborhood Tabulation Area
The Top 10 neighborhoods with the most number of both Originating and Arriving Citi Bike Rides further underscore the disproportionately higher Citi Bike usage in the borough of Manhattan. The only non-Manhattan Neighborhood that is featured on the lists is the North Side-South Side of Williamsburg, Brooklyn. Most neighborhoods are featured as both Top origins and destinations. However, the Upper West Side notably only emerges as a Top origin, and Clinton only as a Top destination. Hudson Yards-Chelsea-Flatiron-Union Square represents a geographically significant neighborhood in the City that encompasses both residential and office land uses, which may explain its dominance as both an origin and destination.
Top 10 Neighborhoods with the Most Number of Originating Citi Bike Rides during Hurricane Ida (September 1 to 3, 2021)
Top 10 Neighborhoods with the Most Number of Arriving Citi Bike Rides during Hurricane Ida (September 1 to 3, 2021)
Whilst this analysis undeniably demonstrates interesting insights into the impact of extreme weather events on micro-mobility networks, Citi Bike Data is limited by Citi Bike access – which is fundamentally skewed when Citi Bike coverage is not equitable across the boroughs. Moreover, bike ownership may negate Citi Bike usage, which may be more prevalent in the outer boroughs where typical public transportation networks are less accessible compared to Manhattan. Flooded streets caused by overwhelmed drainage systems may also affect the capacity for bike usage – in turn, bike infrastructure may facilitate resilience to tropical storms as an alternative to disrupted public transportation, but navigable streetscape conditions and functioning water management are also necessary to ensure the usability of bike infrastructure. While cycling is a viable mode of short- or medium-distance commutes, it may be less appropriate for long-distance travel. In turn, investments in bike infrastructure are a meritorious means to making New York City more resilient to climate change – but not in isolation of innovating dated drainage systems and water-proofing public transportation infrastructure.
Data sets
Motivate International, Inc. (2019, October). Citi Bike System Data. Retrieved from https://www.citibikenyc.com/system-data.
Department of City Planning (DCP). (2023, June). NTA map. Retrieved from https://data.cityofnewyork.us/City-Government/NTA-map/d3qk-pfyz.